Flash Flood Watch in Effect Until Monday @ 10PM
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16 July 2017
 

Potential umbrella weather is in the forecast. 

Yesterday's rain filled Fain Lake to overflowing:

And it looks like the rains will continue for the first part of the week, at least.

Here is the most recent information from the National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ:

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Yavapai County Mountains-Western Mogollon Rim-Eastern Mogollon Rim-White Mountains-Northern Gila County-Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-

This hazardous weather outlook is for the The White Mountains and Mogollon Rim southwest into Northern Gila and Yavapai Counties in Northern Arizona.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight 

Today deeper moisture will surge in from Mexico bringing an increase in thunderstorm coverage which will be a trend into the midweek. The main threats will remain localized flooding and lightning. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued starting at 11 am and continuing into Monday evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Activity will spread further northward with each day for better coverage north of the Mogollon Rim by the mid-week. Models suggest a slight drying trend could be possible by later next week depending on the movement of the igh pressure but it is still early to settle on that outcome.

Flash Flood Watch

Flood Watch

Yavapai County Mountains-Western Mogollon Rim-Eastern Mogollon Rim-White Mountains-Northern Gila County-Yavapai County Valleys and Basins-Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons-

Including the cities of Prescott, Seligman, Ash Fork, Flagstaff, Williams, Munds Park, Heber, Happy Jack, Forest Lakes, Show Low, Greer, Pinetop, Payson, Strawberry, Young, Cottonwood, Camp Verde, Cordes Junction, Bagdad, and Sedona. 

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a:

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of east central Arizona, north central Arizona, northeast Arizona, and west central Arizona, including the following areas, in east central Arizona, Northern Gila County. In north central Arizona, Eastern Mogollon Rim. In northeast Arizona, White Mountains. In west central Arizona, Oak Creek and Sycamore Canyons, Western Mogollon Rim, Yavapai County Mountains, and Yavapai County Valleys and Basins.

* From 11 AM MST this morning through Monday evening.

* For the White Mountains...Mogollon Rim...and southwest into Yavapai and Northern Gila Counties.

* Increasing moisture will move into area Today through Monday. This will allow developing thunderstorms to produce significant amounts of rainfall that will increase flow through creeks and streams from the Mogollon Rim south. Heavier downpours could quickly overwhelm local terrain leading to flash flooding.

* Expect elevated flow through creeks and streams. Areas along washes, small streams and drainages will be susceptible to flash flooding. Low water crossings in the area will likely become impassable at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch Means That Developing Conditions May Lead To 
Flash Flooding Within The Watch area. People...especially those
located along area creeks...rivers or other flash flood prone
areas...should continue to monitor later forecasts and be
prepared to take immediate action should flash flood warnings be issued.

A message from the Yavapai County Emergency Management Public Information Office

Marcie Slay, the Yavapai County Emergency Management Public Information Officer has been issuing a similar warning for the last week or so:

"Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life."

With the recent Goodwin Fire in mind, Slay also warns, "Heavy rainfall over the Goodwin fire scar will likely trigger life threatening flash floods and debris flows in and downstream of the fire area. Residences near drainages and creeks, particularly Big Bug Creek and surrounding tributaries such as Grapevine Creek and Hackberry Creek, may be affected by high water and debris flows.

"Heavy rains may cause flooding across State Highway 69 near Mayer. Move away from drainages now!"

Monsoons are known to be unpredictable, and often the rains come to one community but not the one next door. However, with all the fire activity of the last couple of months, if it rains, there is a strong possibility of flooding. 

"Life threatening flash floods and debris flows will occur in the Mule Canyon, Wolf Creek, and Pine Creek drainages. High water and debris will affect the Mayer-Bolada Road and Pine Flat Road. Act quickly and avoid these areas!​"

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Lynne LaMaster

Lynne LaMaster is the Founder and Editor of the eNewsAZ Network of websites. She asks a lot of questions! In her spare time, she loves photography, cooking and hanging out with her family.

928.458.5119